NBC Projects GOP Will Win House Majority By 2 Seats

NBC News reports:

To arrive at the House Estimate, the NBC News Decision Desk calculates the probability of a Democratic, Republican or third-party victory in each of the 435 individual House races based on pre-election research.

On election night, election analysts examine all the available vote data in real time, adjusting the probabilities for each House race accordingly.

Based on those probabilities, NBC News’ Decision Desk then calculates the most probable outcome for control of the chamber and provides a margin of error plus or minus the number of seats that could still be won by either party.

Read the full article.

As you can see at the top of NBC’s graphic, their projection has a margin error of plus or minus four seats. Democrats do still have chance, according to NBC.

JUST IN: NBC News Now Projecting Republicans to Win House by Razor Thin Margin https://t.co/UB11mp4rox

— Mediaite (@Mediaite) November 14, 2022